ABSTRACT
Novel coronavirus, like SARS-CoV2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2), played hell with public health of individuals worldwide and also severely affected economic growth. Since vaccine of this novel coronavirus has not been discovered till now, we have tried to explain the behavior of virus by means of mathematical modeling. We have chosen a deterministic basic epidemiological model, namely, SEIR model (susceptible–pre-infectious–infected–recovered model), specified it in the context of coronavirus by inserting death group in the compartment model, and called it as susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-dead (SEIRD) model. Parameter estimations have been carried out using the current data available specifically in the case of India. We have estimated the basic reproduction number R 0 and the force of infection to be 0.522. We have also analyzed the precautionary measures taken by Government of India to combat coronavirus mathematically, and concluded the result.
