ABSTRACT

The ship arrival distribution test is a vital piece basic research for port planning and for the choice of distribution pattern in the simulation approach. The test implements the ship arrival distribution approach. The test result of the ship arrival distribution will influence the choice of port queuing system ,which subsequently influences relevant variables measured from such model .The purpose of this paper is to find the ship arrival distribution and their probabilites in the spread sheet simulation systems. After many ship arrivals are merged and verification are required to define the statistical pattern of the ship arrival time distribution. Base on ship dynamic data of international port in Yangshan and using AIS data for this study. This study also investigated the evolution of the ship arrival distribution pattern and theirs probabilities by observation system .It was focused on the probability distribution pattern of the arrival distribution for vessels with the poission distribution.