ABSTRACT
We cannot yet know that climatic disasters are becoming worse and more frequent. All we know is that we are spending more time measuring and therefore discovering them.
It is quite possible that man-made global warming increased the severity of last week’s floods. It is possible, too, that the El Nin˜o effect or volcanic activity was partly to blame. Much more likely, however, is that the flooding of lowland Europe was a natural phenomenon. To infer anything about man-made global warming from the week’s events is wishful thinking.
