ABSTRACT
The chapter contains four main parts following the introductory section. Section 11.2 presents and discusses the basic attributes and tools used in passenger-demand analysis; among these attributes are fares, travel time, service frequency, walking time, routing and transferring, and comfort and inconvenience elements. Section 11.3 provides an example of a transit-demand forecast methodology that is adapted to predict, for a given transit service, the future patronage of a specific set of routes in certain required years. Section 11.4 exhibits a known share model that divides passengers among various travel modes according to each mode’s relative desirability; such a technique has been commonly used to determine modal split, although its accuracy depends heavily on the underlying mathematical model. The last main part, Section 11.5, presents a literature review on estimating origin-destination matrices, which constitute an essential input for most transit-planning and design procedures. The chapter ends with exercises.
