ABSTRACT

As stated in Chapter 1, the goal of this book was to identify distinct characteristics of especially innovative terrorist organizations, with the ambition of contributing to our ability to conduct predictive threat assessment of future terrorist violence, specifically with regards to the prospect of mass-casualty CBRN terrorism. As we have seen throughout the previous chapter, terrorist innovation is a highly complex process, and only a few of the individual variables tested throughout this book have demonstrated an exclusive applicability in terms of being able to universally explain what distinguishes an innovative group from a conservative one. However, the presence of certain combinations of these variables does allow us to make some predictive judgments about future radical innovators.592