ABSTRACT

Our analysis suggests that the employment impact on China of accession to

WTO will be mixed. The degree of domestic and foreign competition varies

from industry to industry. Many Chinese industries are already globally

integrated and competitive, e.g., electronics, textiles and clothing and household

appliances. These industries will continue to be competitive in the global market

although controversy surrounds the future of textiles and clothing. Industries

enjoying protected domestic market (e.g. automobiles) will face fierce global

competition once tariff reductions are implemented. Such industries will have to

accelerate the process of restructuring to attain competitiveness. At least initially,

they are likely to incur substantial transition costs. Inefficient firms in these

industries will most likely disappear with possible adverse employment effects.