ABSTRACT

The development of the regional economy is central to the strategy of the

Chinese government in maintaining its control over Xinjiang in the era of

‘reform and opening’ the post-Mao period of economic growth and modernisation

which is associated with Deng Xiaoping’s period as General Secretary of the

CCP. To put it at its simplest and crudest, Beijing is banking on prosperity

buying off the population and reducing the support for independence, separatist

and politicised Islamic movements such as Wahabbism, Naqshbandi Sufsim and

Uyghur nationalism, which is strongest in the rural and marginal areas where

poverty is greatest. It is not at all certain whether this strategy is likely to

succeed or whether or not the population might actually prefer a lower level of

economic development in a society without control from Beijing. It is, however,

the best card that the authorities in Beijing can play, possibly their only card.