ABSTRACT

What conceptual connections, if any, are there between causation and probability? This question raises many issues, and I shall certainly not attempt to address all of them here. In particular, a full account of the relations between probability and causation would need to cover both causal laws and causal relations between states of affairs, and in the present discussion I shall ignore the former and confine myself to the question of what conceptual connections there are between probability, variously conceived, and the relation of causation.