ABSTRACT

The outcomes of political decision making havebeen the subject of substantial psychological inquiry. Much of this inquiry has been focused on the characteristics of individual decision makers,

including their personality structures (Gibson, 1981; M. G. Hermann, 1977; Winter, 1973), expertise (Judd & Krosnick, 1989), attitudes (Converse, 1964; Sears & McConahay, 1970; Segal & Spaeth,

1993), ideological orientation (Adorno, FrenkelBrunswick, Levinson, & Sanford, 1950; Tetlock, 1983), and cognitive style (Rokeach, 1956; Sidanius, 1978; Tetlock, 1991b). These factors have been used to understand both the choice and justification of public policy outcomes.