ABSTRACT
When the editor of this book asked me whether I would be interested in contributing a chapter on overconfidence, my first question was “What’s the deadline?” When Rüdiger said, “In half a year – end of October,” I replied, “Impossible. With some luck this is when I could start writing. If the end of November is okay with you, I’m on board, otherwise I have to say no.” At the time my confidence in providing the chapter by the end of November was about 80% and my confidence in being done before Christmas was almost 100%.
