Assessing the likelihood of a revival
This chapter considers the official projections that are being made about the growth of nuclear energy to 2030, the extent of the revival so far, and the national plans that states have announced. Taking into account the various drivers and constraints examined in the previous chapters the likelihood that such plans will be realized will be examined. Since drivers and constraints will affect different types of states in different ways, consideration will be given first to the states that currently have nuclear energy and seek to expand their capacities. This will be followed by an examination of the ‘aspirant’ nuclear energy states and the particular barriers that they face in acquiring nuclear energy for the first time.