chapter  1
38 Pages


In the light of an analysis of its resources, the Japan of the next three decades appears likely to have one of two aspects if its population continues to grow to 100 million or more. (1) It may have a standard of living equivalent to that of 1930-34 if foreign financial assistance is continued indefinitely. (2) It may be ‘self-supporting’, but with internal political, economic, and social distress and a standard of living gradually approaching the bare subsistence level. Either of these alternatives seems more likely than that of a Japan which will have made itself self-supporting at a 1930-34 standard through foreign trade and improved resource utilization.1