ABSTRACT

Since 1998, Eastern Europe and the post Soviet states of the CIS have had a fourth wave of so-called color revolutions, whose intent has been to initiate processes of political change and (at least rhetorically) greater democratization within the affected states. These episodes have generally comprised short sharp bursts of largely non-violent political acts aimed at the replacement of incumbent governments. While these contentious events in the former Soviet space have attracted the attention of journalists and scholars alike, there has been less focus on those states in the former Soviet space where such events have not occurred, particularly when political circumstances have aligned to present the increased possibility of a contentious episode.