ABSTRACT

This chapter demonstrates the importance of studying the preference structures connecting a movement and a state. In 1989, one of the Chinese government's central strategies in response to the emergence of the student movement was the use of threats to compel movement participants to cease their activities. Anti-threat resistance has been defined as the participants' resistance after a state threatens a movement. According to the first proposition, this anti-threat resistance is very likely to occur after the movement has emerged. The threat subgame theoretical approach provides a better understanding of the reality and more accurate, and therefore more valuable, information for policy makers. In game theory, Nash equilibrium is the combination of strategies chosen by players in which no player could do better by choosing a different strategy, given the strategy the other chooses. Although backward induction is an appealing way to solve games with complete information, inconsistencies occur between theoretical prediction and empirical evidence.