ABSTRACT
The previous chapter investigated how protest affects repression and how repression affects protest. Both relationships have been treated and analysed separately from each other, an approach that is reflected in the majority of research on protest and repression. This chapter provides an analysis that is specifically tailored to analysing the interaction between protest and repression. It follows an approach used by Davis and Ward (1990), who employ an inductive method to analyse the dynamics of domestic violent conflict. Using quarterly data, they study the protest-repression nexus in Chile. In the following, I develop a model of domestic conflict and accommodation that pays particular attention to the dynamic interaction between government and non-government actors. Subsequently, I introduce the data, which are taken from the Intranational Political Interactions (IPI) project by Davis, Leeds and Moore (Davis et al. 1998). The data capture daily events in six countries from Latin America (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Venezuela) and in three countries from sub-Saharan Africa (Nigeria, Zaire and Zimbabwe) over an approximately 12-year period between the late 1970s and the early 1990s. Chapter 5 then discusses the methodology and presents the empirical results of vector autoregression (VAR) models.
