ABSTRACT

Intelligence is more than espionage. It is the collection and analysis of information in order to let one use one’s resources in the most effective way possible, against rivals doing the same. Information is collected and knowledge acquired so as to support action, rather than for their own sake. Intelligence is not a form of power but a means to guide its use, whether as a force multiplier, or by helping one to understand one’s environment and options, and thus how to apply force or leverage, and against whom. Intelligence is a rational activity but its significance, like that of rationality itself, is limited. Intelligence shows what can be understood in the context of what cannot be known. It addresses several related questions, which can be answered only in probabilistic terms, with the uncertainty to any one answer multiplied by that of the rest. Subjects under observation resist the observer through denial and deception, and change their behaviour in response to one’s own. They use intelligence to guide their actions-and so affect yours. The truth is not just out there; one can create the truth one deserves.