ABSTRACT

The farmer in the Usambara mountains of Tanzania and the farmer in the southern Australian plains contemplating a slowly developing drought face similar decisions as to whether to remain in the hazard area and what they will do in the event of continuing shortage. Like other individuals who knowingly expose themselves to a natural hazard, they make some kind of appraisal of the prospect that drought will continue. They canvass a number of the possible actions to be taken in dealing with the threatening environment. Each thinks about the consequences of taking those actions to himself and his family. Finally, they choose in one way or another what, if anything, they will do.