ABSTRACT

This chapter examines the first constituent part of prevention, namely prediction. As noted in Chapter 1, prediction is predicated upon a theory of causality. In the case of crime prevention, a distinction must be made here between theories of crime, which is an event and a legal category, and theories of criminality, which is the manifestation of an assumed motivation for behaviour which fits such a category. The distinction is an important one, not only because the causes of these two phenomena may be different, as the thing to be explained may be in dispute, but also because in different historical epochs one or other of these approaches has tended to be dominant, although the contemporary emphasis is towards integration.