ABSTRACT
In this book, senior scholars and a new generation of analysts present different applications of recent advances linking beliefs and decision-making, in the area of foreign policy analysis with strategic interactions in world politics.
Divided into five parts, Part 1 identifies how the beliefs in the cognitive operational codes of individual leaders explain the political decisions of states. In Part 2, five chapters illustrate progress in comparing the operational codes of individual leaders, including Vladimir Putin of Russia, three US presidents, Bolivian president Evo Morales, Sri Lanka’s President Chandrika Kumaratunga, and various leaders of terrorist organizations operating in the Middle East and North Africa. Part 3 introduces a new Psychological Characteristics of Leaders (PsyCL) data set containing the operational codes of US presidents from the early 1800s to the present. In Part 4, the focus is on strategic interactions among dyads and evolutionary patterns among states in different regional and world systems. Part 5 revisits whether the contents of the preceding chapters support the claims about the links between beliefs and foreign policy roles in world politics.
Richly illustrated and with comprehensive analysis Operational Code Analysis and Foreign Policy Roles will be of interest to specialists in foreign policy analysis, international relations theorists, graduate students, and national security analysts in the policy-making and intelligence communities.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
part I|41 pages
Beliefs and Roles in World Politics
part II|106 pages
The Operational Codes of World Leaders
chapter 4|24 pages
Deciphering Deadly Minds in Their Native Language
chapter 6|18 pages
Policy Documents and the Beliefs of Foreign Policy Decision-Makers
chapter 7|20 pages
One Step Forward, Two Steps Back
part III|93 pages
The Psychological Characteristics of US Presidents
chapter 10|24 pages
Presidential Personalities and Operational Codes
part IV|127 pages
Computational Models of Foreign Policy Roles
chapter 13|30 pages
Binary Role Theory and the Operational Code Analysis of Grand Strategies
part V|15 pages
Beyond Beliefs in World Politics