ABSTRACT

The security arrangements proposed reflect the author's views. They are based solely on security considerations. The first assumption is of prior agreement between Syria and Israel on the overall solution of the Golan Heights question and on the content of the peaceful relations between them, from which the phased arrangements would be derived. Secondly, as long as there is no full and stable peace, the risks of war will remain and security arrangements will be needed to meet those risks and perhaps to avert war. Third, there is no reason to expect Syria to agree to a long-term Israeli military presence on the Golan Heights without Israel's prior concession on the territorial issue. A fourth assumption holds that if there is a gradual evolution toward full peace, it is likely that the risks will be high at the start of the process, perhaps diminishing over time.