ABSTRACT

This chapter outlines important factors, or attributes, in modeling forest resources and discusses how these factors might be incorporated into the modeling process to ensure that global change is fully integrated into strategic planning. Timing of global change is based on human population growth and per capita energy consumption. Incorporating global change into strategic planning for natural resources has traditionally been done by constructing a scenario or scenarios of the future climate. Resource sustainability in a changing environment must be based on adaptability, resilience, and stability. Strategic planning for renewable natural resources is based on models that make projections of future resources and the economic impacts of policy decisions. Multiple-resource interactions take into account the varying quantities and trade-offs of resources that result from management of natural systems. The role that human interactions might play in affecting single-resource production or the interactions of resource production is unknown.