ABSTRACT

This chapter examines the climate research and its socioeconomic and political implications climatic change. The response of the climate system to those induced changes, with emphasis on atmospheric carbon dioxide. The climate models in question are dissimilar in many respects, but most of them include an atmosphere in which the motions, heat exchanges, and hydrologie cycle are included explicitly. The climate models used so far in experiments to determine the response to increased carbon dioxide include oceans that are highly simplified. One solution to the dilemma is to compose a set of climate scenarios that describe the patterns of seasonal and regional weather that could occur on a warmer Earth. Climatologists would probably not be able to agree on which scenario is the most likely to actually unfold, but they should not be suprised if any one turned out to be true—they are all “surprise-free scenarios”.