ABSTRACT

For young as well as old, the world of 2025 will be

very different from that of today. There are both opti-

mistic and pessimistic signs. The enhanced life

expectancy of children born in the present century

reflects the harvest of health improvements intro-

duced in the twentieth. By then children under five

years (around 8 per cent of the world’s population)

will be outnumbered by the over-65s (10 per cent). By

then the world, already free of smallpox, should also

be free of poliomyelitis, neonatal tetanus and prob-

ably measles. If drug resistance can be overcome,

tuberculosis could be added to that list. Leprosy con-

trol should be well advanced. And most children are

likely to be protected from vaccine-preventable

diseases.