chapter  6
32 Pages

Disease Cluster Detection

In the study of disease spatial distribution it is often appropriate to ask questions related to the local properties of the relative risk surface rather than models of relative risk per se. Local properties of the surface could include peaks of risk, sharp boundaries between areas of risk, or local heterogeneities in risk. These different features relate to surface properties but not directly to a value at a specific location. Relative risk estimation (AKA disease mapping; Chapter 5) concerns the ‘global’ smoothing of risk and estimation of true underlying risk level (height of the risk surface), whereas cluster detection is focussed on local features of the risk surface where elevations of risk or depressions of risk occur. Hence it is clear that cluster detection is fundamentally different from relative risk estimation in its focus. However the difference can become blurred, as methods that are used for risk estimation can be extended to allow certain types of cluster detection. This will be discussed more fully in later sections.