ABSTRACT
Taking into account the characteristics and behaviors of one’s adversary is essential for success in any competitive activity, such as in sports, business, or warfare. Obviously, if one’s enemies are well understood, their actions can then be better anticipated and countered. To do so, the key is to capture the adversary’s intentions. An intuitive approach that immediately comes to mind is to think what you would do if you were “in your opponent’s shoes.” However, “thinking as your enemy” is difficult because your perception of the world is quite likely to be very different from your opponents’. To address this problem and correctly infer adversary intent, the model of the adversary should capture critical aspects such as their history of movements and responses in different situations, their policies (e.g., military doctrines), capabilities, infrastructure, and human factors (e.g., social, political, cultural, and economic*). In this chapter, we focus primarily on adversary modeling (and, in particular,
adversary intent inferencing) for military planning and operations, but note that the concepts can be readily applied across a broad range of domains.
