ABSTRACT

Broadly speaking, any assumption on the distribution of one or more random

variables observed in an experiment is a statistical hypothesis. The hypothesis

may be based on theoretical considerations, on the analysis of other (similar)

experiments or it may just be an educated guess suggested by reasonableness

or common sense, whatever these terms mean. In any case, it must be checked

by actually performing the experiment and by devising some method which -

in the light of the acquired data - gives us the possibility to decide whether to

accept it or reject it. This, it should be clear from the outset, does not imply

that our decision wil l be right because, as in any procedure of statistical

inference, the best we can do (unless we examine the entire population) is

to reduce the probability of being wrong to an acceptable level, where the

term 'acceptable' generally depends on the problem at hand, the seriousness

of the consequences of being wrong and, last but not least, the cost of the

experiment. Consequently, we wil l not state our conclusions by saying 'our

hypothesis is true (false)' but 'the observed data are in favour (against) our

hypothesis', and we wil l continue our work behaving as if the hypothesis

were true (false).