ABSTRACT

In this chapter we obtain the full description of these models in terms of implicit polynomial equations and inequalities. Like in the previous chapter, the focus is on the two-state case M(T , 2). In this case an important part of the information about the global geometry of the general Markov model is contained in its second-order moments. By Theorem 6.10, the correlations of p ∈M(T , 2) satisfy

ρij = ∏ e∈ij

ρe for all 1 ≤ i < j ≤ m. (7.1)

Here we used the fact that second-order standardized tree cumulants coincide with correlations; see Remark 6.3. From this we easily infer the following set of constraints that must be satisfied by any distribution in M(T , 2). Lemma 7.1. Let T be a phylogenetic tree with labeling set [m]. For every p ∈M(T , 2) the corresponding correlations satisfy

ρijρikρjk ≥ 0 for all 1 ≤ i < j < k ≤ m, or equivalently

kijkikkjk ≥ 0 for all 1 ≤ i < j < k ≤ m. Later in this chapter we supplement these inequalities with the complete

set of constraints describing M(T , 2) for any phylogenetic tree T .