ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: The existing literature assessing the impact of climate change on China’s food security in the future highlights the significant downside risk of climate induced yield reduction. In contract, there is a shortage of attention to the upside potential which may also be bought in by climate change. To make a balanced assessment, this research employs an integrated agro-climatic and ecological assessment show significant extension of multicropping opportunities. An effective adaptation to such opportunities based on both market and policy incentives would bring in upside gain of crop production increase which is more than sufficient to overweigh the downside risk as revealed by the existing literature.