ABSTRACT

ABSTRACT: Combining dynamic finite element method with reliability theory based on probability statistical analysis, the extreme response of the high earth and rockfill dam is calculated under earthquake. In this paper, the probability density of the minimum safety factor as one of these responses is fitted by kernel density estimation method. Based on reliability theory, the method of high earth and rockfill dam slop safety probability is proposed. The results show that the method applied in earth and rockfill dam slope stability reliability is feasible.