ABSTRACT

The paramount purpose of the impending Conventional Stability Talks should be the elimination of instabilities resulting from existing invasion capabilities. This chapter deals with different types of approaches to achieve deterrence and crisis stability in Europe, especially in central Europe. It aims to sort out which approaches could be promising and which should be avoided. There are three different approaches to conventional arms control under discussion: force reductions and withdrawals; confidence-building measures (CBMs); and changes in doctrines, strategies and force structures. A fourth approach, less frequently discussed, aims at reciprocal unilateral measures. The chapter analyzes the approaches in terms of whether or not they live up to the requirements outlined above. The evolving Western concept is even less clear than the still-embryonic Eastern approach. CBMs will be the second most important approach to conventional arms control in future East-West talks.