ABSTRACT

Existing Russian oil refinery industry limited with strategy development until 2025-2035. During the years of modernization,there will be inevitable changes in the energy markets,especially with dynamically developing sources of alternative energy. New revamping of refinery plants will be required to face market demand. Nevertheless, existing long-term outlooks in Oil and Gas field focused on changes in energy market.In this paper, we suggest approach and research of future efficient refinery configuration based on expected market scenarios. This is done through systematization key factors essential for the development of an oil refinery, modeling scenarios of energy market evolutions and refinery configurations, selection of configurations to developed scenarios. Based on this study it is possible to select refinery vector of development in long-term prospects.