ABSTRACT

This study aims the optimal sustainable production and procurement system satisfying Turkey’s energy demand, under a profit maximization scenario considering the increase in exports, in the period between the years 2000–2011. For this, firstly, the energy reference system of Turkey has been determined. In the reference energy system, seven sources have been identified as coal, crude oil, natural gas, hydro, geothermal-solar-wind, biofuel-waste, and electricity. Usage areas have been divided into groups as residential and commercial, industrial, transportation, agriculture, and other (non-energy use-petrochemical raw material stocks) sectors. The desired objective is provided in an optimal manner within a policy framework that is either the transfer of more resources to increase the capacity of existing plants, the orientation to other energy production options with higher costs, or whether energy from other countries should be imported or not. For this, the mathematical model proposed in a form of the Multi-Period Interval Parameter Integer Linear Programming (MP-IPILP) has been established to solve the desired target. Thus, the findings obtained by energy system resource planning have been compared with the resource allocations data realized because of public policies in the current period, and some proposals have been made.