ABSTRACT

FIGURE 6.1 Probabilities of Sn successes in an n warhead missile attack (normal approximation to the binomial probability distribution)

JRE 6.2 Geometry of the missile competition

S* = Minsov + ~us Minus' U'' =Minus+ ~sov Minsov ( 1 - ~us~sov) ( 1 - ~us~sov) (7)

TABLE 6.1 Missile Equilibriums as the Exchange Ratio Increases (Min= 100)

~ S ", U'' 0 100 .25 133 .50 200 .75 400 .90 1000 .95 2000 .98 5000 .99 10000 1

G = Crisis Instability = fB + FR

0 ill

F IG

U R

E 6

.3