ABSTRACT
For decades, the Russians in Uzbekistan, even those whose parents or grandparents had been born there, had not bothered to learn the language or build bridges to Uzbek society, secure in the belief that this was part of "Russia". President Ghulam Karimov's program of action implicitly recognized the relevance of the Brintonian criteria to Uzbekistan, by attacking the structural weakness of the regime and the inefficient machinery of government. In Crane Brinton's view, the most reliable predictor of a revolutionary situation was what he called "the transfer of allegiance of the intellectuals" to "another and better world than that of the corrupt and inefficient old regimes". It is noteworthy that Central Asian strong men of the past have tended to be secular, not rel.
