ABSTRACT
This chapter brings to a close the strictly quantitative assessment of impacts of neighborhood incivilities over time. It focuses on longitudinal impacts. The longitudinal, ecological version of the thesis posits lagged neighborhood-level impacts of incivilities on fear. The chapter includes lagged impacts of neighborhood incivilities on changes in: Two out of six reactions to crime; one pathway of neighborhood structural decline, increasing disadvantage; three out of four changes in relative, reported violent crime rates. These results certainly provide partial support for the longitudinal incivilities thesis. Incivilities theorists have contributed to that discussion, describing how disorderly local social conditions and deteriorated local physical conditions contribute to fear and other reactions to crime. Local community development initiatives supported and assisted by local institutions of faith and community development corporations may have helped strengthen local commitment and sense of community. The chapter discusses the distribution of variance and the percentages of variance explained by each model.
