ABSTRACT

Libya has virtually ceased modernizing many of its conventional weapons and has lacked organized flows of spare parts and force-wide maintenance efforts. Iran does have the ability to support an unconventional war against Israel, even though it presents little near term threat of being able to deploy significant effective conventional military forces. Iraq has been a major threat to Israel in the past. It deployed a total of four brigades against Israel by the end of the 1948 war, which fought in Samaria. It deployed a reinforced division, composed of an armored brigade, a mechanized brigade, and two infantry brigades in 1967—as well as a Palestinian contingent. The practical problem for both Israel and its immediate Arab neighbors is not so much the near term war fighting threat from Libya, Iran, and Iraq, but rather their potential impact on arms control.