ABSTRACT

Published in the year 1985, An Elementary Approach To Thinking Under Uncertainty is a valuable contribution to the field of Cognitive Psychology.

part |51 pages

I A General Framework

chapter |12 pages

1 Certainty and Uncertainty

chapter |7 pages

2 Defining the Uncertain Situation

chapter |14 pages

3 Listing and Grouping Possible Answers

chapter |16 pages

4 Defining Degrees of Belief

part |44 pages

II Some Tools

chapter |13 pages

5 Estimation

chapter |17 pages

6 Sampling —Part I

chapter |12 pages

7 Sampling —Part II

part |51 pages

III Probability Assessment