ABSTRACT

Drawing on classic and contemporary scholarship and empirical analysis of elections and public expenditures in 80 countries, the author argues for the existence of primary and secondary laws of politics.

Starting with how basic elements of politics—leadership, organization, ideology, resources, and force—coalesce in the formation of states, he proceeds to examine the operations of those laws in democracies and dictatorships. Primary laws constrain the support that incumbents draw from the electorate, limiting their time in office. They operate unimpeded in democracies. Secondary laws describe the general tendency of the state to expand vis-à-vis economy and society. They exert their greatest force in one-party states imbued with a totalitarian ideology. The author establishes the primary laws in a rigorous analysis of 1,100 parliamentary and presidential elections in 80 countries, plus another 1,000 U.S. gubernatorial elections. Evidence for the secondary laws is drawn from public expenditure data series, with findings presented in easily grasped tables and graphs. Having established these laws quantitatively, the author uses Cuba as a case study, adding qualitative analysis and a practical application to propose a constitutional framework for a future Cuban democracy.

Written in an engaging, jargon-free style, this enlightening book will be of great interest to students and scholars in political science, especially those specializing in comparative politics, as well as opinion leaders and engaged citizens.

part I|10 pages

Preliminaries

part II|11 pages

The making of democracies and dictatorships

chapter 3|7 pages

Elements of politics

The building blocks of regimes

chapter 4|2 pages

The compounds

Democracies and dictatorships

part III|25 pages

A data set for the study of politics

chapter 5|7 pages

A political world

Regimes, countries, regions

chapter 6|12 pages

An electoral system

Variables and parameters

chapter 7|3 pages

Laws of politics

Primary and secondary

part IV|24 pages

Primary laws of politics

chapter 8|3 pages

The first law of politics

The law of shrinking support

chapter 9|4 pages

The second law of politics

The law of alternation in office

chapter 10|5 pages

Other constants of incumbent vote

part V|14 pages

Secondary laws of politics

chapter 12|5 pages

The laws of state expansion

part VI|48 pages

Cuba

chapter 14|11 pages

Cuba

A historical outline 1

chapter 15|6 pages

Democracy in Cuba

A comparative analysis 1

chapter 16|9 pages

Dictatorship in Cuba

A comparative analysis

chapter 17|20 pages

A constitutional framework for a free Cuba 1

part VII|6 pages

Recapitulation and conclusion

chapter 18|4 pages

Laws of politics

Summary and extension