ABSTRACT

War is a typical case of chaos,1 producing unpredictable patterns; new dynamics of changes in society and economy; complete disruption of usual linearities; and new forms of societal organizations and networks. We may mourn the death of old tools designed to measure both normalities or linearities or alternatively look at the new situation as a paradigm shift and attempt, as was already done in meteorology and mathematics of uncertainties, to develop a conceptual framework that accommodates war-produced uncertainties. Furthermore, if civil wars and prolonged conflict are triggered by failed modernities,2 then post-war political, social and economic terrains should be the sites where alternate and viable modernities should be explored.