Taylor & Francis GroupTaylor & Francis Group
Search all titles
  • Login
  • Hi, User  
    • Your Account
    • Logout
  • Search all titles
  • Search all collections
Which World
loading
Which World

Global Destinies, Regional Choices - Scenarios for the 21st Century

Which World

Global Destinies, Regional Choices - Scenarios for the 21st Century

ByAllen Hammond
Edition 1st Edition
First Published 1998
eBook Published 8 April 2014
Pub. location London
Imprint Routledge
DOIhttps://doi.org/10.4324/9781315071282
Pages 318 pages
eBook ISBN 9781134188185
SubjectsDevelopment Studies
KeywordsFortress World, Critical Trends, Global Destinies, Market World Scenario, Transformed World
Get Citation

Get Citation

Hammond, A. (1998). Which World. London: Routledge, https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315071282
ABOUT THIS BOOK

?Today, humanity faces a fundamentally different challenge ? that of managing a planet and a global human civilization in ways that will sustain both indefinitely. What makes this task less than easy are the pace and complexity of change. Over the next half century, human society will undergo a profound demographic transformation, experience fundamental shifts in the global balance of economic and political power, and cope with nearly continuous technological change. These transformations are inevitable ? the forces that compel them are already in place ? but their outcomes are far from fixed? This book is about the future, but not in the sense of making predictions. Rather it suggests how to think about the future. Because human destiny is not predetermined, this book explores not just one but several possible worlds, each embodying a very different vision of the future. Implicit in these contrasting visions is a choice: which world do we prefer; which world do we want to pass on to our children and grandchildren?? From chapter 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS
part |2 pages
PART I. LOOKING AHEAD
chapter 1|10 pages
Thinking About the Future
View abstract
chapter 2|8 pages
The Power of Scenarios
View abstract
part |5 pages
PART II. THREE WORLD VIEWS
View abstract
chapter 3|11 pages
Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity?
View abstract
chapter 4|10 pages
Fortress World: Instability and Violence?
View abstract
chapter 5|16 pages
Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor?
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART III. TRENDS THAT SHAPE OUR FUTURE
View abstract
chapter 6|21 pages
Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological
View abstract
chapter 7|15 pages
Critical Environmental Trends
View abstract
chapter 8|13 pages
Critical Security Trends
View abstract
chapter 9|12 pages
Critical Social and Political Trends
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART IV. REGIONAL CHOICES
chapter 10|18 pages
Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability?
View abstract
chapter 11|24 pages
China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue?
View abstract
chapter 12|15 pages
India: A Second Independence?
View abstract
chapter 13|14 pages
Sub-Saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy?
View abstract
chapter 14|12 pages
North Africa and the Middle East: Autocracy Forever?
View abstract
chapter 15|10 pages
Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What?
View abstract
chapter 16|14 pages
North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation?
View abstract
part |2 pages
PART V. GLOBAL DESTINIES
chapter 17|14 pages
Choosing Our Future
View abstract

?Today, humanity faces a fundamentally different challenge ? that of managing a planet and a global human civilization in ways that will sustain both indefinitely. What makes this task less than easy are the pace and complexity of change. Over the next half century, human society will undergo a profound demographic transformation, experience fundamental shifts in the global balance of economic and political power, and cope with nearly continuous technological change. These transformations are inevitable ? the forces that compel them are already in place ? but their outcomes are far from fixed? This book is about the future, but not in the sense of making predictions. Rather it suggests how to think about the future. Because human destiny is not predetermined, this book explores not just one but several possible worlds, each embodying a very different vision of the future. Implicit in these contrasting visions is a choice: which world do we prefer; which world do we want to pass on to our children and grandchildren?? From chapter 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS
part |2 pages
PART I. LOOKING AHEAD
chapter 1|10 pages
Thinking About the Future
View abstract
chapter 2|8 pages
The Power of Scenarios
View abstract
part |5 pages
PART II. THREE WORLD VIEWS
View abstract
chapter 3|11 pages
Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity?
View abstract
chapter 4|10 pages
Fortress World: Instability and Violence?
View abstract
chapter 5|16 pages
Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor?
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART III. TRENDS THAT SHAPE OUR FUTURE
View abstract
chapter 6|21 pages
Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological
View abstract
chapter 7|15 pages
Critical Environmental Trends
View abstract
chapter 8|13 pages
Critical Security Trends
View abstract
chapter 9|12 pages
Critical Social and Political Trends
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART IV. REGIONAL CHOICES
chapter 10|18 pages
Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability?
View abstract
chapter 11|24 pages
China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue?
View abstract
chapter 12|15 pages
India: A Second Independence?
View abstract
chapter 13|14 pages
Sub-Saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy?
View abstract
chapter 14|12 pages
North Africa and the Middle East: Autocracy Forever?
View abstract
chapter 15|10 pages
Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What?
View abstract
chapter 16|14 pages
North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation?
View abstract
part |2 pages
PART V. GLOBAL DESTINIES
chapter 17|14 pages
Choosing Our Future
View abstract
CONTENTS
ABOUT THIS BOOK

?Today, humanity faces a fundamentally different challenge ? that of managing a planet and a global human civilization in ways that will sustain both indefinitely. What makes this task less than easy are the pace and complexity of change. Over the next half century, human society will undergo a profound demographic transformation, experience fundamental shifts in the global balance of economic and political power, and cope with nearly continuous technological change. These transformations are inevitable ? the forces that compel them are already in place ? but their outcomes are far from fixed? This book is about the future, but not in the sense of making predictions. Rather it suggests how to think about the future. Because human destiny is not predetermined, this book explores not just one but several possible worlds, each embodying a very different vision of the future. Implicit in these contrasting visions is a choice: which world do we prefer; which world do we want to pass on to our children and grandchildren?? From chapter 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS
part |2 pages
PART I. LOOKING AHEAD
chapter 1|10 pages
Thinking About the Future
View abstract
chapter 2|8 pages
The Power of Scenarios
View abstract
part |5 pages
PART II. THREE WORLD VIEWS
View abstract
chapter 3|11 pages
Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity?
View abstract
chapter 4|10 pages
Fortress World: Instability and Violence?
View abstract
chapter 5|16 pages
Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor?
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART III. TRENDS THAT SHAPE OUR FUTURE
View abstract
chapter 6|21 pages
Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological
View abstract
chapter 7|15 pages
Critical Environmental Trends
View abstract
chapter 8|13 pages
Critical Security Trends
View abstract
chapter 9|12 pages
Critical Social and Political Trends
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART IV. REGIONAL CHOICES
chapter 10|18 pages
Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability?
View abstract
chapter 11|24 pages
China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue?
View abstract
chapter 12|15 pages
India: A Second Independence?
View abstract
chapter 13|14 pages
Sub-Saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy?
View abstract
chapter 14|12 pages
North Africa and the Middle East: Autocracy Forever?
View abstract
chapter 15|10 pages
Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What?
View abstract
chapter 16|14 pages
North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation?
View abstract
part |2 pages
PART V. GLOBAL DESTINIES
chapter 17|14 pages
Choosing Our Future
View abstract

?Today, humanity faces a fundamentally different challenge ? that of managing a planet and a global human civilization in ways that will sustain both indefinitely. What makes this task less than easy are the pace and complexity of change. Over the next half century, human society will undergo a profound demographic transformation, experience fundamental shifts in the global balance of economic and political power, and cope with nearly continuous technological change. These transformations are inevitable ? the forces that compel them are already in place ? but their outcomes are far from fixed? This book is about the future, but not in the sense of making predictions. Rather it suggests how to think about the future. Because human destiny is not predetermined, this book explores not just one but several possible worlds, each embodying a very different vision of the future. Implicit in these contrasting visions is a choice: which world do we prefer; which world do we want to pass on to our children and grandchildren?? From chapter 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS
part |2 pages
PART I. LOOKING AHEAD
chapter 1|10 pages
Thinking About the Future
View abstract
chapter 2|8 pages
The Power of Scenarios
View abstract
part |5 pages
PART II. THREE WORLD VIEWS
View abstract
chapter 3|11 pages
Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity?
View abstract
chapter 4|10 pages
Fortress World: Instability and Violence?
View abstract
chapter 5|16 pages
Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor?
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART III. TRENDS THAT SHAPE OUR FUTURE
View abstract
chapter 6|21 pages
Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological
View abstract
chapter 7|15 pages
Critical Environmental Trends
View abstract
chapter 8|13 pages
Critical Security Trends
View abstract
chapter 9|12 pages
Critical Social and Political Trends
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART IV. REGIONAL CHOICES
chapter 10|18 pages
Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability?
View abstract
chapter 11|24 pages
China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue?
View abstract
chapter 12|15 pages
India: A Second Independence?
View abstract
chapter 13|14 pages
Sub-Saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy?
View abstract
chapter 14|12 pages
North Africa and the Middle East: Autocracy Forever?
View abstract
chapter 15|10 pages
Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What?
View abstract
chapter 16|14 pages
North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation?
View abstract
part |2 pages
PART V. GLOBAL DESTINIES
chapter 17|14 pages
Choosing Our Future
View abstract
ABOUT THIS BOOK
ABOUT THIS BOOK

?Today, humanity faces a fundamentally different challenge ? that of managing a planet and a global human civilization in ways that will sustain both indefinitely. What makes this task less than easy are the pace and complexity of change. Over the next half century, human society will undergo a profound demographic transformation, experience fundamental shifts in the global balance of economic and political power, and cope with nearly continuous technological change. These transformations are inevitable ? the forces that compel them are already in place ? but their outcomes are far from fixed? This book is about the future, but not in the sense of making predictions. Rather it suggests how to think about the future. Because human destiny is not predetermined, this book explores not just one but several possible worlds, each embodying a very different vision of the future. Implicit in these contrasting visions is a choice: which world do we prefer; which world do we want to pass on to our children and grandchildren?? From chapter 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS
part |2 pages
PART I. LOOKING AHEAD
chapter 1|10 pages
Thinking About the Future
View abstract
chapter 2|8 pages
The Power of Scenarios
View abstract
part |5 pages
PART II. THREE WORLD VIEWS
View abstract
chapter 3|11 pages
Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity?
View abstract
chapter 4|10 pages
Fortress World: Instability and Violence?
View abstract
chapter 5|16 pages
Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor?
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART III. TRENDS THAT SHAPE OUR FUTURE
View abstract
chapter 6|21 pages
Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological
View abstract
chapter 7|15 pages
Critical Environmental Trends
View abstract
chapter 8|13 pages
Critical Security Trends
View abstract
chapter 9|12 pages
Critical Social and Political Trends
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART IV. REGIONAL CHOICES
chapter 10|18 pages
Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability?
View abstract
chapter 11|24 pages
China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue?
View abstract
chapter 12|15 pages
India: A Second Independence?
View abstract
chapter 13|14 pages
Sub-Saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy?
View abstract
chapter 14|12 pages
North Africa and the Middle East: Autocracy Forever?
View abstract
chapter 15|10 pages
Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What?
View abstract
chapter 16|14 pages
North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation?
View abstract
part |2 pages
PART V. GLOBAL DESTINIES
chapter 17|14 pages
Choosing Our Future
View abstract

?Today, humanity faces a fundamentally different challenge ? that of managing a planet and a global human civilization in ways that will sustain both indefinitely. What makes this task less than easy are the pace and complexity of change. Over the next half century, human society will undergo a profound demographic transformation, experience fundamental shifts in the global balance of economic and political power, and cope with nearly continuous technological change. These transformations are inevitable ? the forces that compel them are already in place ? but their outcomes are far from fixed? This book is about the future, but not in the sense of making predictions. Rather it suggests how to think about the future. Because human destiny is not predetermined, this book explores not just one but several possible worlds, each embodying a very different vision of the future. Implicit in these contrasting visions is a choice: which world do we prefer; which world do we want to pass on to our children and grandchildren?? From chapter 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS
part |2 pages
PART I. LOOKING AHEAD
chapter 1|10 pages
Thinking About the Future
View abstract
chapter 2|8 pages
The Power of Scenarios
View abstract
part |5 pages
PART II. THREE WORLD VIEWS
View abstract
chapter 3|11 pages
Market World: A New Golden Age of Prosperity?
View abstract
chapter 4|10 pages
Fortress World: Instability and Violence?
View abstract
chapter 5|16 pages
Transformed World: Changing the Human Endeavor?
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART III. TRENDS THAT SHAPE OUR FUTURE
View abstract
chapter 6|21 pages
Critical Trends: Demographic, Economic, and Technological
View abstract
chapter 7|15 pages
Critical Environmental Trends
View abstract
chapter 8|13 pages
Critical Security Trends
View abstract
chapter 9|12 pages
Critical Social and Political Trends
View abstract
part |3 pages
PART IV. REGIONAL CHOICES
chapter 10|18 pages
Latin America: Equitable Growth or Instability?
View abstract
chapter 11|24 pages
China and Southeast Asia: Can the Asian Miracle Continue?
View abstract
chapter 12|15 pages
India: A Second Independence?
View abstract
chapter 13|14 pages
Sub-Saharan Africa: Transformation or Tragedy?
View abstract
chapter 14|12 pages
North Africa and the Middle East: Autocracy Forever?
View abstract
chapter 15|10 pages
Russia and Eastern Europe: Transition to What?
View abstract
chapter 16|14 pages
North America, Europe, and Japan: Leadership or Stagnation?
View abstract
part |2 pages
PART V. GLOBAL DESTINIES
chapter 17|14 pages
Choosing Our Future
View abstract
Taylor & Francis Group
Policies
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Cookie Policy
Journals
  • Taylor & Francis Online
  • CogentOA
Corporate
  • Taylor & Francis
    Group
  • Taylor & Francis Group
Help & Contact
  • Students/Researchers
  • Librarians/Institutions

Connect with us

Registered in England & Wales No. 3099067
5 Howick Place | London | SW1P 1WG © 2018 Informa UK Limited