ABSTRACT

The relationship between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, generally character-

ized as constant antagonism both in the Cold War and post-Cold War eras, has

long been a decisive factor in shaping the region’s security and st ability. Follow-

ing the initial rappro chement between them, taking place since 2008 when Tai-

wan’s new administration was sworn in, this relationship is now at a critical

juncture as the important political transitions are taking shape both in Taiwan

and the mainland. Their newly obtained amelioration has offered some observers

optimistic outlooks for further institutionalized ties and leaves open the possibil-

ity of future discussions on more sensitive issues, including cross-Strait

confidence-building measures (CBMs).1 Nevertheless, their relations are still

facing tremendous impediments, whether domestic, bilateral, or international,

which may complicate the peace pro cess or even reverse the trend of positive

development at some point in the future.