ABSTRACT
One thing can safely be said of tourism in the future: it will increase. Nothing but a global war can prevent that. Current forecasts suggest a 5 per cent yearly growth in international tourist flows through the 1990s, and that means a lot of tourists; expenditure is likely to grow even faster in real terms. But where will the increase occur? And where will there be a decline? These are more difficult questions. They will be answered partly by innovatory practices and new products, and the next question is – what will they look like? This chapter examines a number of issues that are likely to be landmarks of the future including:
directions of growth and decline;
products;
the role of government: intervention and market forces;
economic and social consequences of tourism;
working conditions;
ownership;
tourism backlash;
blockages and clearances including:
currency exchange and frontier formalities;
the transport infrastructure;
nationalism and violence;
pricing;
health;
the affairs of Eastern Europe.
