ABSTRACT

Let us take stock. Bayesian confi rmation theory does impose an objective constraint on inductive inference, in the form of the likelihood lover’s principle, but this is not suffi cient to commit the Bayesian to assuming the uniformity of nature, or the superiority of “non-grueish” vocabulary or simple theories. The fi rst of these failures, in particular, implies that bct does not solve the problem of induction in its old-fashioned sense.