ABSTRACT

For NATO, the development and application of a variety of ‘emerging technologies’ to conventional weapons systems might seem the happy coincidence of a pressing need with a novel, and potentially dramatic, solution. To be sure, a certain number of emerging technologies may ultimately prove of considerable value in bolstering the Alliance’s nonnuclear capabilities. However, the overall impact of these technologies on NATO’s military posture will be less dramatic than once anticipated. Uncertainties about the operational performance of many of the new technologies persist, as do concerns about the vulnerability of weapons systems incorporating these technologies to simple and relatively inexpensive counter-measures. Moreover, the allied countries are finding it increasingly difficult to structure programs to absorb and apply these technologies efficiently, effectively, and equitably.