ABSTRACT
Some useful generic scenarios can be provided, particularly for temperature, where there is much more confidence than for the water-related factors such as rainfall, soil moisture, lying water, and stream flow. Because the magnitude of current seasonal-tointerannual climate variations is comparable to the climate variations projected for the 2050s, the opportunity to understand, predict, and manage the large fluctuations of malaria incidence that can occur at these time scales is immediate. The ability to manage malaria during existing seasonal climate variations will be an essential adaptation tool in a world whose climate is projected to warm even more over the next half-century.
