ABSTRACT
Building upon the analysis of global warming impacts performed in Chapter 5, the following chapter identifies a set of regions in which, due to their special ecological, demographic or socio-economic features, climate change will present particularly major challenges in the next decades. The assessment of problem-solving capacity and of susceptibility to conflict in the individual regions uses the findings of others chapters which reviewed the body of research on environmental conflict and the causes of war and identified past hotspots with an environmental element of causation (Chapter 3), explored the effects of state fragility and a changing international system upon conflict dynamics (Chapter 4) and constructed conflict constellations arising from anticipated climate change (Chapter 6).
