ABSTRACT

First published in 1999, this book describes what the International community of scientific institutions could do to reverse this trend, by pooling its know-how and resources in International and interdisciplinary working groups and standing committees, by preparing options for action and by standing the possibilities for overcoming the political and economic obstacles to the implementation of expert advice. The reasons are given why neighboring groups of people sooner or later start fighting each other unless certain conditions are fulfilled. These conditions are enumerated. Historical examples are presented. Since lack of mutual trust, often based on inherited enemy images, is at the roots of many conflicts is shown how trust among former opponents can be created by working on joint projects, particularly when both sides are threatened by the same danger. In previous history this danger was often a common enemy. Today we must learn that all of mankind is threatened by environmental and other global problems which can only be mastered by joint efforts, forgetting the enmities of earlier generations. Furthermore, it is explained that many catastrophes could be avoided if risks were properly assessed and taken seriously and necessary precautions not avoided for financial reasons, just hoping for the best.

chapter 1|7 pages

Catastrophes as By-Products of Human Activities

How can they be avoided? 3

chapter 2|7 pages

Pluralism and Pugnacity 8

The collapse of central authority, what it entails, and the task of scientific institutions

chapter 3|9 pages

New Patterns of Conflict, Old Methods of Conflict Resolution? 9

The necessity of new approaches based on a more thorough use of the resources of natural and political science, psychology, history and international law

chapter 4|6 pages

A Negative Goal for Science

The prevention of social disasters by interdisciplinary, international scientific co-operation 10

chapter 8|10 pages

Violent and Peaceful Settlements of Ethnic Conflicts

Some theses on the determinants 19

chapter 13|17 pages

SDI and Stability 32

The role of assumptions and perceptions

chapter 15|11 pages

Western Perceptions of Soviet Goals 38

An educating example from the beginning of the end of the Cold War

chapter 16|13 pages

Mutual Perceptions of Long-Range Goals 45

Can the United States and the Soviet Union co-operate permanently?

chapter 17|8 pages

Integrated Europe? 48

A survey of European perceptions of Europe’s role in regional and global political and economic co-operation 49

chapter 18|5 pages

Perceptions of the Europe of Tomorrow 51

chapter 20|34 pages

Science Advice to the United Nations 55

chapter 22|6 pages

The New World Order and the Role of Science

Final remarks

chapter 23|24 pages

Summaries