ABSTRACT

Every day, newspapers, magazines, web sites, and social media feature articles about the prevalence of crime. Some of these contradict each other; others use inaccurate statistics. Many people who see wildly diverging statistics conclude that no statistics should be trusted. However, the essence of the statistical discipline is that all statistics should be accompanied by a measure of their accuracy. This book looks at crime statistics from a statistical point of view, and evaluates the different sources of crime statistics with respect to completeness (i.e. missing data), measurement error, and sampling variability. The goal of the book is to promote statistical reasoning about statistics.

chapter Chapter 1|7 pages

Thinking Statistically about Crime

chapter Chapter 2|12 pages

Homicide

chapter Chapter 3|15 pages

Police Statistics

chapter Chapter 4|13 pages

National Crime Victimization Survey

chapter Chapter 5|12 pages

Sampling Principles and the NCVS

chapter Chapter 6|17 pages

NCVS Measurement and Missing Data

chapter Chapter 7|15 pages

Judging the Quality of a Statistic

chapter Chapter 8|15 pages

Sexual Assault

chapter Chapter 9|11 pages

Fraud and Identity Theft

chapter Chapter 10|12 pages

Big Data and Crime Statistics

chapter Chapter 11|12 pages

Crime Statistics, 1915 and Beyond