ABSTRACT

This book tells the story of how China’s leaders, from Mao to Xi, have sacrificed ethics to promote either macroeconomic performance or microeconomic efficiency. This story includes Mao’s collectivization of land, the Great Leap Forward, the Great Cultural Revolution, Deng’s opening China to international trade, Tiananmen Square, the freeing of prices, food and medicine scandals, the 2015 surge and collapse of the Chinese stock market, the falling of China’s foreign reserves, and so on. In 2008, China’s leaders correctly identified the best strategy as a "consumption-driven growth strategy" because the current world is suffering from a glut of savings. However, for that strategy to work, the Chinese need to be able to trust China’s economy and leaders. In the absence of trust, people will make decisions based on extremely short time frames which will hurt China’s long-run potential and continue to generate a series of speculative bubbles. In the absence of trust, wealthy Chinese will continue to move their assets abroad, putting tremendous downward pressure on the Chinese yuan. The Chinese will develop a long-run perspective and invest in China only when they can trust China’s future. In today’s world, trust is necessary. Trust is built on ethics.

chapter 1|6 pages

Introduction and Evaluation Criteria

chapter 2|12 pages

Power Struggles Over Policies

The Mao years

chapter 4|15 pages

The Cat’s Color Does Not Matter

The Deng years

chapter 6|11 pages

“Some Will Get Rich Before Others”

The Jiang Zemin years: 1989–2002

chapter 8|13 pages

Harmony?

The Hu Jintao years: 2002–2012

chapter 9|12 pages

Export-Driven to Consumption-Driven Growth

chapter 11|18 pages

Xi Jinping’s Domestic Dream for China

chapter 13|21 pages

China’s International Dream Under Xi Jinping

Trade and exchange rate issues

chapter 14|12 pages

China’s International Dream Under Xi Jinping

Geopolitical expansion and military issues

chapter 16|9 pages

Future Paths For China