ABSTRACT

With COVID-19 sweeping across the globe with near impunity, it is thwarting governments and health organizations efforts to contain it.  Not since the 1918 Spanish Flu have citizens of developed countries experienced such a large-scale disease outbreak that is having devastating health and economic impacts. One reason such outbreaks are not more common has been the success of the public health community, including epidemiologists and biostatisticians, in identifying and then mitigating or eliminating the outbreaks. 

Monitoring the Health of Populations by Tracking Disease Outbreaks: Saving Humanity from the Next Plague is the story of the application of statistics for disease detection and tracking. The work of public health officials often crucially depends on statistical methods to help discern whether an outbreak may be occurring and, if there is sufficient evidence of an outbreak, then to locate and track it. Statisticians also help collect critical information, and they analyze the resulting data to help investigators zero in on a cause for a disease.  With the recent outbreaks of diseases such as swine and bird flu, Ebola, and now COVID-19, the role that epidemiologists and biostatisticians play is more important than ever.

Features:

·        Discusses the crucial roles of statistics in early disease detection.

·        Outlines the concepts and methods of disease surveillance.

·        Covers surveillance techniques for communicable diseases like Zika and chronic diseases such as cancer.

·        Gives real world examples of disease investigations including smallpox, syphilis, anthrax, yellow fever, and microcephaly (and its relationship to the Zika virus).

Via the process of identifying an outbreak, finding its cause, and developing a plan to prevent its reoccurrence, this book tells the story of how medical and public health professionals use statistics to help mitigate the effects of disease.  This book will help readers understand how statisticians and epidemiologists help combat the spread of such diseases in order to improve public health across the world.

chapter Chapter 1|19 pages

The Next Plague

part I|68 pages

Disease Surveillance

chapter Chapter 2|15 pages

Separating Signal from Noise

chapter Chapter 3|7 pages

Types of Public Health Surveillance

chapter Chapter 4|14 pages

Traditional Surveillance

chapter Chapter 5|13 pages

Syndromic Surveillance

chapter Chapter 6|14 pages

Indirect Approaches

part II|105 pages

Disease Investigations

chapter Chapter 7|21 pages

Steps in Investigating an Outbreak

chapter Chapter 8|8 pages

The Nipah Virus

chapter Chapter 9|12 pages

Smallpox and the Aralsk Incident

chapter Chapter 10|9 pages

Syphilis and the Internet

chapter Chapter 11|10 pages

The 2001 Anthrax Attack

chapter Chapter 12|9 pages

Cancer in Los Alamos

chapter Chapter 13|16 pages

Discovering the Cause of Yellow Fever

chapter Chapter 14|11 pages

Microcephaly and Zika

chapter Chapter 15|3 pages

In Conclusion